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This is http://www.essayz.com/a9401221.htm Previous-Essay <== This-Essay ==> Following-Essay Click HERE on this line to find essays via Your-Key-Words. {Most frequent wordstarts of each essay will be put here.} ========================================================== %FUTILE CONTROL REFLEX PROCESS SELF OTHER RELATE 940122 It is futile for participants in a reflexive process to try to arrogate to themselves a right/duty/power/need to control any part of the reflexive process within which they are participants. The futility is rooted in the impossibility of any participant in such a process having the necessary insight, understanding, knowledge, skill, and power needed to assure that the actual outcome of any manipulative strategy will be anywhere near the outcome which was intended when the strategy was chosen and implemented. The study of chaotic processes (by experts in the newly developing discipline which seeks to find regular patterns of similarity among chaotic processes) clearly indicates that the ability of people to predict the future course of development of a complex process is severely limited beyond a span of time which depends critically upon: 1. The size and complexity of the process, 2. The accuracy of information about the process, 3. The accuracy of computational/projective tools, 4. The degree of reflexivity of the process, 5. The degree of objectivity of the process, and 6. The degree of honesty of the predictors. When the future of any process which people seek to predict depends in part upon the future behavior of the people who seek to predict the future of the process--- that process is an essentially reflexive process; not an objective process from which people can detach and study objectively in a scientifically reliable way. Consider the two constraining facts: the more detached people are from such a process, the greater is their level of ignorance about many aspects of the process. The ignorance must be recognized, named, described, and talked about in order to understand and anticipate the future course of the process. Such ignorance undermines the possibility of their predicting accurately the future course of the process very far into the future. Yet, on the other hand, the more involved people are in such a process, the more difficult it is for them to transcend the biases which are generated by their own special interests in seeing the process move in one direction, rather than another---and so the more likely it is that they will try to influence, if not control, the course of development of the process. The ignorance which comes from high levels of detachment and objectivity, undermines the ability to predict the future course of a process. It is difficult for scientists to be truly indifferent to the outcome of an experiment in the light of predictions made. Efforts to influence and/or control a process often leads to collusive games of mutual self deception which undermine the level of honesty and accuracy of communication within and among those so involved. The process of trying to predict the future of any process within which the predictors participate --- is thus governed by an uncertainty principle (like the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle in quantum physics) due to the combination of the effects of the ignorance-of-exclusive-objectivity and the ignorance-of-collusive-games-of-mutual-self-deception. See the next essay for a discussion of the relationship of the image of the Mandelbrought Set to the above considerations. (c) 2005 by Paul A. Smith in (On Being Yourself, Whole and Healthy) ==========================================================